The initial situation
Forecasts were available for the Herren Tunnel, but they needed to be updated.
The Herren Tunnel is a toll road section north of Lübeck that passes under the river Trave. It was built as an F-model within the framework of a public-private partnership (PPP). Accordingly, various traffic and revenue forecasts were already available, but they needed to be updated in 2017.
The world sometimes changes unpredictably. In such cases, existing forecasts need to be adapted to the changed conditions.
The concrete task
Updating the existing traffic and toll forecasts
Development of a new traffic model including calibration of the current situation, definition of forecast assumptions and calculation of a time series of traffic and toll development
Benefits of the results
An up-to-date and realistic traffic and toll forecast for the next decades
Project data and contact persons
Traffic and revenue forecast for the Herren Tunnel Lübeck (F-Model)