The initial situation
Anyone who bears the traffic volume risk for a toll route needs a high-quality traffic forecast.
“Forecasts are difficult, especially when they concern the future.” This well-known quote is especially true when money is at stake. In the case of toll roads realised in public-private partnerships (PPP), one of the two partners always bears the traffic volume risk. In order to be able to assess this, all sides need a reliable estimate of future traffic development – in this case for a challenging period of more than three decades.
Without a well-founded assessment of future traffic development, the risk taking is not possible.
The concrete task
Forecasts of traffic development – in this case in road freight traffic – in the coming decades are to be provided for a specific section of motorway.
Our solution
Solid basic data, well-founded traffic forecast models and realistic forecast premises
Benefits of the results
Profound assessment of future traffic development and a credible position towards other project participants
Project data and contact persons
Title
Traffic forecasts and monitoring of traffic development on the A8 motorway between Ulm and Augsburg (A-Model A8 II)
Client
Most recently Pansuevia
Processing period
since 2009